Fleeing Mass

Last month I looked at (here and here) a NYT article that purported to show Vermont in terrible demographic trouble due to a massive outflux of young people.

Now the latest is this Boston Globe article (referred to by Jay Tea at Wizbang) that points to similar direness for Massachusetts. The Census Bureau recently reported that, on average, about 116 more people per day have been moving out of Massachusetts than have been moving in. (This is a net interstate migration number only, not counting foreign (im|em)migrants, or in-state births and deaths; the period studied was 7/2000-7/2004.)

Unsurprisingly, the Globe finds someone to bash Governor Mitt ("Mitt") Romney for this, even though he was in office for only 1.5 years out of the four year period.

The (PDF) report from the Census Bureau is here. Other fun facts therein:

  • New York is the most popular state to be from; it has lost people at an average rate of slightly over 500 per day. (That's the highest out-migration rate in absolute numbers.)

  • On the other hand, Florida has about 523 people per day moving in. (That's the highest in-migration rate in absolute numbers.)

  • Measured in percentage terms, Nevada is the in-migration champ, at about 2.33% of its population per year; New York has the highest out-migration percentage rate, losing 0.96% of its population per year. (Massachusetts is in second place by this measure: 0.66%)

  • New Hampshire has been gaining about 21 people per day (0.61% rate). Maine, of all places, has been taking in about 22 people per day, (0.63% rate). And even Vermont is still getting a trickle of 2.5 persons per day (0.15% rate).

  • The report also compared the migration rates from 1990-2000 with those from 2000-2004. The out-migration rate in Massachusetts seems to be increasing (from 0.41% to 0.66%). The in-migration rate in New Hampshire is also increasing (from 0.33% to 0.61%). Maine went from an out-migration rate of 0.04% to in-migration rate of 0.63%.

Jay Tea has some speculations about why Massachusetts and New York are leaking population; my own is that people get a little confused on their labyrinthine roads, take the wrong turn, and wind up out of state, unable to find their way back.